Senin, 04 November 2019

McDonald's shares slide after parting ways with CEO over relationship with employee - Fox Business

McDonald’s shares were sliding Monday morning after the company on Sunday parted ways with CEO Steve Easterbrook over an inappropriate relationship with an employee.

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MCDMCDONALD'S CORP.193.94-2.76-1.40%

The fast-food chain said Easterbrook “violated company policy and demonstrated poor judgement involving a recent consensual relationship with an employee.”

Chris Kempczinski, president of McDonald’s USA, was named CEO and president. He was also elected to McDonald’s board of directors.

Easterbrook became McDonald’s CEO in March 2015 after the company posted one of its worst financial quarters in years. He was instrumental in the company’s turnaround, emphasizing a technological shift that included third-party delivery through apps and the installation of kiosks that let customers customize their orders.

DEMOCRATS' PLAN TO RAISE TAXES DANGEROUS FOR STOCK MARKET: GOLDMAN SACHS

“While fundamentals are solid (nowhere more apparent than last week's earnings results), changes of this magnitude tend to be disruptive,” Minneapolis-based Piper Jaffray analysts wrote in a note to clients on Monday morning. They downgraded shares to neutral and cut their price target from $224 to $195 – less than 1 percent above where shares settled on Friday.

The analysts say the risks associated with the transition are “potentially short-lived” as Kempczinski was “instrumental in orchestrating current (and well performing) strategies as well as having global CPG experience.”

On Oct. 22, McDonald’s reported quarterly results that fell short of Wall Street estimates for the first time in two years. The company earned a profit of $1.6 billion, or $2.11 a share, flat from the year prior. Same-store sales rose 4.8 percent year-over-year, missing the 5.2 percent that was expected.

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McDonald’s shares were up 9.2 percent this year. They gained 96 percent under Easterbrook’s leadership.

FOX Business' James Leggate contributed to this report.

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https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/mcdonalds-steve-easterbrook-chief-executive-out-stock-reaction

2019-11-04 11:44:58Z
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Human rights group slams Saudi Arabia for crackdown on dissent - NBC News

Legitimate reforms benefiting women mask a broader crackdown on freedom and dissent in Saudi Arabia, the international monitor Human Rights Watch said Monday.

Reforms like allowing women to drive or to appear in public performances followed Mohammed bin Salman's ascension to crown prince in June 2017. Prince Mohammed said he wanted to reshape how the world views the kingdom, historically seen as an isolated incubator of Islamist radicals.

But behind the scenes, Saudi authorities have harshly oppressed perceived opponents of the prince, 34, targeting prominent clerics, academics, women's and human rights activists, leading businessmen and even other members of the royal family, the watchdog, Human Rights Watch, said in a 62-page report.

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"Allegations have emerged of rampant torture and mistreatment," the report said.

The abuses didn't come to widespread attention until Jamal Khashoggi, a Saudi journalist and columnist for The Washington Post, was brutally killed at the Saudi consulate in Istanbul, Turkey, in October 2018, the group said.

The CIA quickly concluded that Prince Mohammed ordered the assassination of Khashoggi, a critic of Saudi Arabia's crackdown on dissent. The prince said a month ago that as the kingdom's leader, he took responsibility for Khashoggi's death but denied that he had ordered it.

NBC News reported in January that former U.S. officials and diplomats were deeply troubled by the United States' reluctance to confront Saudi Arabia over its continuing human rights abuses. They said the U.S. failure to confront the kingdom was a repudiation of decades of U.S. policy that would serve as a tacit green light signaling the Trump administration's approval.

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Michael Page, deputy Middle East director for Human Rights Watch, acknowledged Monday that the prince had "created an entertainment sector and allowed women to travel and drive."

But "it's not real reform in Saudi Arabia if it takes place in a dystopia where rights activists are imprisoned and freedom of expression exists just for those who publicly malign them," he said.

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https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/human-rights-group-slams-saudi-arabia-crackdown-dissent-n1075906

2019-11-04 05:03:00Z
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Minggu, 03 November 2019

There's a Dark Side to Zero-Cost Investing That Can't Be Ignored - Bloomberg

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There's a Dark Side to Zero-Cost Investing That Can't Be Ignored  Bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-11-03/there-s-a-dark-side-to-zero-cost-investing-that-can-t-be-ignored

2019-11-03 12:00:00Z
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Saudi Arabia announces IPO of world's most profitable company - CNN

Following approval from the country's regulators, Saudi Aramco on Sunday formally announced its intention to float shares on the Tadawul exchange in Riyadh. Aramco executives will now embark on an international roadshow to court investors, and a prospectus outlining the company's financial details is expected later this month.
"(The IPO) will increase our international visibility as the leading company in the world," CEO Amin Nasser said at a press conference. He declined to comment on the company's valuation, which executives said would be determined following consultation with potential investors.
Aramco has vast oil reserves and massive daily output. It holds a monopoly in Saudi Arabia, the world's largest exporter of crude oil.
The Aramco IPO will help destroy the planet, environmental groups warn
The public offering is part of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's plan to wean his country off oil and develop other areas of the economy. But getting the massive IPO off the ground has been an arduous process full of false starts.
The Saudi government initially discussed floating 5% of the company in 2018 in a deal that would raise as much as $100 billion. It was looking at international markets such as New York or London, as well as Riyadh.
But the project was shelved amid concerns about legal complications in the United States, as well as doubts about the $2 trillion valuation sought by bin Salman — only to be revived earlier this year after Aramco pulled off a successful international bond sale.
Estimates of how much the flotation will raise vary widely. Bin Salman has reportedly pushed to value Aramco at close to $2 trillion; analysts peg it no higher than $1.5 trillion. Selling even 1% of the company at the bottom of that range would fetch $15 billion, while selling 2% at the top could generate $40 billion, eclipsing the record $25 billion IPO by Alibaba (BABA) in 2014.
Uncertainty will still hang over the IPO process in the coming weeks. Questions remain about international appetite for Aramco shares, and the company is sensitive to the geopolitical environment. It had to delay the IPO process following attacks on Saudi oil facilities in September.
But executives made clear on Sunday that they intend to move forward.
"The question could be, 'Why not now?'" chairman Yasir Al-Rumayyan told reporters at the press conference. "I think this is the right time for us — coming to a juncture where we want to take Aramco to be a public company, to have more disclosure."
The announcement begins a sprint for Aramco's bankers, pulled from top firms such as Goldman Sachs (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Citi (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and HSBC (HSBC). Shares could start trading in early December, according to recent media reports.
— Sugam Pokharel contributed reporting.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/03/investing/saudi-aramco-ipo/index.html

2019-11-03 10:25:00Z
52780425436576

Saudi Arabia announces IPO of world's most profitable company - CNN

The Capital Market Authority of Saudi Arabia said in a statement Sunday that it has approved an application to list shares in Saudi Aramco. It did not say when the highly-anticipated IPO would take place or give details on its size.
Aramco has vast oil reserves and massive daily output. It holds a monopoly in Saudi Arabia, the world's largest exporter of crude oil.
The Aramco IPO will help destroy the planet, environmental groups warn
The public offering is part of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's plan to wean his country off oil and develop other areas of the economy. But getting the massive IPO off the ground has been an arduous process full of false starts.
The Saudi government initially discussed floating 5% of the company in 2018 in a deal that would raise as much as $100 billion. It was looking at international markets such as New York or London, as well as Riyadh.
But the project was shelved amid concerns about legal complications in the United States, as well as doubts about the $2 trillion valuation sought by bin Salman — only to be revived earlier this year after Aramco pulled off a highly successful international bond sale.
Estimates of how much the flotation will raise vary widely. Bin Salman reportedly wants the deal to value Aramco at $2 trillion; analysts peg it no higher than $1.5 trillion. Selling even 1% of the company at the bottom of that range would fetch $15 billion, while selling 2% at the top could generate $40 billion, eclipsing the record $25 billion IPO by Alibaba (BABA) in 2014.
— Sugam Pokharel contributed reporting.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/03/investing/saudi-aramco-ipo/index.html

2019-11-03 08:50:00Z
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Saudi Aramco I.P.O. Is Announced - The New York Times

LONDON — Saudi Arabia said on Sunday that it had approved plans for the giant state-owned oil producer, Saudi Aramco, to go public, taking the country’s crown jewel and what is probably the world’s most profitable enterprise close to its long-awaited goal: becoming a publicly traded company.

The country’s Capital Market Authority said that Aramco planned to sell an unspecified percentage of its shares, which are expected to begin trading next month. Bankers on the transaction have told the Saudi government that investors are likely to value the company at about $1.5 trillion, people briefed on the matter said previously.

Aramco is the behemoth in the oil business, alone producing about one-tenth of the world’s output. Last year, it made $111 billion in net income, almost twice Apple’s profit and many times the earnings of lesser rivals like Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell.

And Sunday’s announcement sets up what may be the biggest initial public offering ever, with a chance to exceed the nearly $22 billion that Alibaba, the Chinese e-commerce giant, raised in one day in 2014.

But Aramco’s initial public offering will fall short of Saudi Arabia’s audacious goals.

When Mohammed bin Salman, the country’s de facto ruler, first announced plans to take the company public in 2016, he said that the company would be valued at about $2 trillion, that the offering would take place by 2017 and that its shares would trade on both a premier international stock exchange, such as New York, London or Hong Kong, as well as the Saudi exchange in Riyadh.

Yet Aramco appears poised to be valued well short of $2 trillion. And its I.P.O. process has proceeded in fits and starts over the past three years, pausing several times over the complications of readying its finances and operations — long shrouded in secrecy, even as it gushed wealth for its kingdom — for the scrutiny of public investors.

And while Prince Mohammed, the country’s crown prince, had been eager to have Aramco trade on both the Tadawul, the local stock market, and a more prominent stock market, that appears off the table for the time being.

At last week’s investor conference at the Ritz-Carlton Hotel in Riyadh, Saudi officials made clear that the crown prince’s thinking was critical to the I.P.O.

The prince’s older half brother, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, who was recently appointed energy minister, told the conference on Wednesday that the listing would be “a Saudi decision first of all and, specifically, Prince Mohammed’s decision.”

Much of the proceeds from the offering are not likely to flow to Aramco’s operations but into the Public Investment Fund, a Saudi sovereign wealth fund that is evolving into the prince’s main vehicle for shifting the country’s economy away from its reliance on oil.

Along with venture capital investments like Uber, the ride-sharing service that has a strong presence in the kingdom, the Public Investment Fund is putting money into renewable energy and enormous real estate projects aimed at creating jobs for Saudis. Neom, a vast futuristic city planned for the northwest of the country, will require $500 billion from the Public Investment Fund and other investors over time, according to its website.

On Wednesday, the fund announced that it was borrowing $10 billion from a group of international banks, including JPMorgan, Citigroup and Bank of America. The loan would help “accelerate” the fund’s investment program, according to a news release.

It is not hard to see why the prince is pressing for quicker results fueled by an Aramco share sale. The economy has yet to see big payoffs from his schemes. Unemployment among Saudi nationals remains elevated at 12.7 percent.

What remains indisputable is how big Aramco is. It earned $46.9 billion in the first half of the year and produced 10 million barrels a day, giving it a financial and production heft that analysts have said would lure in international investors.

Still, questions are likely to dog Aramco executives and their army of advisers as they continue to pitch prospective investors on the offering. Some will center on how the company has recovered from a devastating drone and missile attack in September that temporarily shut down half of its production.

The physical damage may have been largely repaired, but investors will probably remain worried that its facilities remain vulnerable to another assault, given the political tensions between Saudi Arabia and its neighbors.

“There is a risk of further attacks on Saudi Arabia, which could result in economic damage,” said Fitch Ratings in September when it downgraded Saudi Arabia’s credit rating to A, from A+.

Investment in Saudi Arabia has generally been tempered by the killing and dismemberment of the Saudi dissident and journalist Jamal Khashoggi by Saudi agents last year. Prince Mohammed has accepted responsibility for the killing, but denied ordering it. Those concerns, though, were hard to find at last week’s investment conference, where Wall Street executives and world leaders converged.

Aramco’s status as the world’s mightiest oil company comes as concerns about climate change have raised doubt about the future of fossil fuels. Top institutional investors like the Singaporean sovereign wealth fund Temasek have already suggested they will reduce their exposure to fossil fuels, potentially ruling them out as backers of Aramco.

Aramco officials are addressing those concerns by putting around $600 million a year into research and development in areas like more efficient car engines and vehicles equipped with devices for capturing much of the carbon dioxide emissions that they produce.

The company is also investing in plants and joint ventures aimed at funneling more of its oil into chemicals, which Aramco’s leadership believes will see relatively strong growth in the coming decades, when demand for transportation fuels may fall off as alternatives like electric vehicles become more available.

“The pessimism around oil is misplaced,” Aramco’s chief technology officer, Ahmad Al Khowaiter, said in a recent interview at the company’s headquarters in Dhahran. “The growth is in materials; it is in chemicals,” he added.

Michael de la Merced reported from London, and Stanley Reed from Riyadh.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/03/business/dealbook/aramco-ipo.html

2019-11-03 06:34:00Z
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How Much Oil Does The U.S. Really Own - OilPrice.com

It’s no secret that the United States produces more crude oil on a daily basis than any other country at 12.6 million bpd, according to the most recent weekly EIA data. But this is domestically. When you look at crude production from US majors operating overseas, just how much of the world’s crude oil do these US giants really control?

Who Produces the Oil?

It may be impossible to get a definitive total, but a look at the reported production from US oil majors against some of the rest of the world’s largest oil companies shows that two of the world’s 10 largest crude oil producing companies are US-based.

(Click to enlarge)

The top 10 oil producers together contribute 34.73 million bpd to the world’s oil supplies, and the two largest US oil majors, ExxonMobil and Chevron, account for 4.13 million bpd of that, or 11 percent.

Compared to total global oil production, which was estimated at 94.7 million bpd, the United States’ top 2 oil producers account for 4.4 percent, based on production. That may not seem like a large figure by itself, but only Aramco—which is responsible for 100 percent of Saudi Arabia’s production, produces more oil than Exxon and Chevron combined.

But the United States has many other heavy hitters when it comes to oil production, and almost all of the oil produced in the United States (12.6 million bpd), is produced by US oil companies.

Related: IEA: An Oil Glut Is Looming

Aside from Exxon and Chevron, other major US oil companies include ConocoPhillips, Occidental, EOG Resources, Anadarko, Marathon, Vaalco, and Devon Energy. And these players operate in countries throughout the globe.

(Click to enlarge)

And the list above is by no means all inclusive, with US oil majors also operating in Trinidad, the United Kingdom, and China. 

In total, US oil companies produce more than 15 percent of the world’s oil.

Who Owns the Oil?

Another way to look at who controls the oil is to look at the proved reserves of the US majors, which accounts for not just their oil reserves held in the United States, but around the globe.

(Click to enlarge)

That list is not all-inclusive either, but it is some of the biggest names in the US oil industry. Combined, these players hold roughly 44 billion boe. Of course, there are many more smaller US companies that hold additional proven barrels.

So how does that stack up?

Well, Aramco’s proved reserves, if the last audit is valid, pegs their proved reserves at 260 billion barrels of oil equivalent.  Rosneft holds 44 billion boe, and PDVSA holds even more, owning a huge chunk of Venezuela’s 300 billion boe.  

Even with Exxon’s massive size, US production and proved reserves is a small portion of the world’s oil, which stands at 1.73 trillion barrels of oil. This is less than 3 percent of the world’s total proven oil resources. Related: Oil Production Paralyzed As Venezuela's Electricity Crisis Worsens

But that doesn’t mean that US oil companies don’t hold sway.

Controlling the Middle East

American oil companies’ presence in the Middle East goes back decades. In 1943, America and Britain were jockeying for pieces of the Middle Eastern oil pie. At that time, the British controlled more than 2/3rds of oil production in the Middle East, and only 14 percent fell under American control.

Source: Multinational Oil Corporations and U.S. Foreign Policy - REPORT together with individual views, to the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, by the Subcommittee on Multinational Corporations.

But since then, direct American oil company influence in the Middle East has waned, although they have maintained a presence in the Middle East. Today, US oil companies are still alive and kicking across the ocean, including in Iraq, Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar by the likes of Exxon, Chevron, Occidental and more.

Arguments can be made, however, that any US majors operating in the Middle East have little influence over oil produced in the Middle East, and some countries have shoved US majors to the backburner as they nationalized their lucrative oil industries.

America’s oil majors have had a difficult time in other regions of the world as well, leaving many to question how much influence these oil majors really have, should push come to shove.

One need only to look as far as Venezuela, Libya, and Nigeria to see how Western oil companies have sometimes fared overseas. But the oil prize often has so much appeal that even great risks are sometimes just too good to pass up. 

In Venezuela, for instance, former Socialist leader Hugo Chavez nationalized almost all of its oil, seizing assets and kicking foreign oil companies out, at great expense to those oil firms, proving that not even Venezuela, holding the world’s largest oil reserves, was worth it.

Other countries such as Libya and Nigeria have been embroiled in so much internal strife and corruption that some US oil companies have pulled out.

What’s Next

Undeterred, some US majors are keen to go exploring in other countries, and the most interesting spot today for this exploration seems to be Guyana and its neighbor, Suriname. And already concerns have been voiced that Exxon in particular got a crazy good deal in Guyana, with some calling Exxon’s deal exploitative.

And like the Middle East when petroleum was first discovered, Guyana and Suriname have zero experience with petroleum, and their policies for oil have not yet been established—prime ground for US majors. 

If history is any indication of this will go, the oil majors bold enough to dip their toe into those literal waters could one day find themselves kicked to the curb after developing the oil and gas resources, but we’d bet good money they have planned for such a contingency.

With US majors controlling as much as 15 percent of the total oil produced globally, US producers have a powerful position in the world. And with the United States accounting for 98 percent of the world’s total production growth in 2018, and the trend likely to continue, its influence will only solidify in the coming years. 

By Julianne Geiger for Oilprice.com

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https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/How-Much-Oil-Does-The-US-Really-Own.html

2019-11-02 23:00:00Z
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