Kamis, 31 Oktober 2019

These stocks are typically the best bets when the Fed jolts the economy with three rate cuts - CNBC

A trader laughs ahead of the closing bell on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on February 1, 2019 in New York City.

Johannes Eisele | AFP | Getty Images

The stage appears to be set for stocks to shine after the Federal Reserve's third rate cut and its signal to stop from now. And certain groups of stocks stand to benefit the most, if history is any guide.

The Fed slashed interest rates for the third straight time this year on Wednesday while indicating it is going to pause easing. Powell made it clear in the press conference that the current monetary policy stance is "likely to remain appropriate."

The three-and-done approach was used on two occasions in history — between 1995 and 1996 and in 1998. The Alan Greenspan-led Fed slashed rates by a total of 75 basis points, during both periods to combat an economic downturn and successfully prolong the expansion.

The Fed's insurance easing episodes in the 1990s managed to drive the S&P 500 22% higher on average a year after the third cut, CNBC analysis found. The move was particularly beneficial for cyclical stocks including tech, energy and industrials as investors bet on economically sensitive pockets of the market after Fed rate cuts.

CNBC, using hedge fund analytics tool Kensho, found that information technology stood out as the best-performing sector after the central bank cut rates three times and paused, surging a whopping 66% a year after the third cut on average. Energy and industrial stocks both jumped about 24% on average during the same period.

It's not surprising that cyclical stocks have historically enjoyed the biggest boost from Fed's rate cuts. As monetary easing is designed to jolt the economy, investors tend to gravitate towards stocks traditionally correlated to economic growth.

To be sure, the tech sector's stunning pop in the 1990s happened when there was a rapid rise in U.S. tech stock valuations at the height of the dotcom bubble. So the Fed put should have less of an impact on the group this time.

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2019-10-31 11:41:22Z
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Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot owner announce $48 billion merger - CNN

Shareholders of each automaker would own 50% of the combined operation, the companies said in a joint statement on Thursday. A binding agreement could be finalized within weeks, the statement said.
The combined company would be based in the Netherlands, which is the current headquarters of Fiat Chrysler. John Elkann, the US-born scion of the Italian family that founded Fiat, would be chairman of the combined company, while PSA chief executive Carlos Tavares would be CEO.
The company would have roughly 410,000 employees and rank among the largest automakers in the world. Fiat Chrysler (FCAU) and PSA (PUGOY) sold a combined 8.7 million vehicles last year, just ahead of General Motors (GM), which sold 8.3 million, and not far behind Volkswagen (VLKAF) and Toyota (TM), which each sold over 10 million.
The merger comes amid a global auto sales slowdown. At the same time, carmakers are scrambling to invest in the electric and hybrid technologies needed to meet strict new emissions targets in China and Europe. The autonomous vehicles of the future also present a threat to traditional industry business models. The huge amount of capital needed to meet these new challenges has forced some automakers to find partners and turned others into acquisition targets.
Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds' executive director of industry analysis, said the planned merger of Fiat Chrysler and France's PSA "isn't really about product or expanding to new markets." Instead, it's about funding research into the vehicles of the future.
"The electrified, autonomous future everyone is waiting for just isn't feasible without automakers merging and forming strategic alliances to share research and development costs," she said. "This is a smart move by both Fiat Chrysler and PSA to ensure their companies continue to be viable and relevant as the industry evolves."
The carmaker with the most urgent need to combine in this case was PSA, which has fallen behind on developing clean cars. Electric vehicles account for less than 0.3% of its overall sales, and it had to pay Tesla (TSLA) for credits needed to comply with EU emissions standards. Fiat Chrysler has also trailed larger rivals in developing electric vehicles.
Even the biggest players in the industry are making changes. Volkswagen and Ford (F) are working together to develop electric and self-driving vehicles, while German carmakers BMW (BMWYY) and Daimler (DDAIF) have formed a joint venture that will develop driverless technology. Honda has invested in General Motors' self-driving car unit.

A history of mergers

It's not the first time that PSA has used a merger to bulk up. In 2017 it paid $2.3 billion to buy GM's European business, adding the Opel and Vauxhall brands as GM exited the continent. While GM lost about $22.4 billion in Europe over the 17 years before that deal, Opel and Vauxhall are now profitable for PSA.
Teaming up during times of adversity is also a familiar strategy for Fiat, which started the purchase of US rival Chrysler out of bankruptcy a decade ago. It completed the merger five years later. But even following that deal, Fiat Chrysler was still significantly smaller than many of its rivals, putting it at a disadvantage in purchasing muscle as well as spreading out the cost of research and development.
Sergio Marchionne, the late CEO who brought Fiat and Chrysler together, spoke publicly about his desire for a deal with GM. He also expressed interest in a combination with a tech company such as Google or Apple.
Earlier this year, Fiat Chrysler made a merger proposal to another French automaker, Renault, a company of comparable size to PSA. But it withdrew the offer, saying that "it has become clear that the political conditions in France do not currently exist for such a combination to proceed successfully."
The French government owns 15% of Renault and is its largest shareholder; it also owns 12.2% of PSA. France has said it would approve the Renault deal only if there were protections for French jobs and factories.

New challenges

Fiat Chrysler and PSA will face huge challenges even if their merger is completed.
Both have struggled to break into China, the world's largest market for new cars. Automakers have sold 10% fewer cars there so far in 2019, but the joint ventures of Fiat Chrysler and PSA have been hit especially hard. Sales dropped by a third for Fiat Chrysler in the first half of the year, and more than 50% for PSA.
PSA also has no presence in the United States, the world's second largest car market. Miniscule US sales of Fiat branded cars show the difficulty in bringing mass market European brands, as opposed to luxury brands, to US showrooms.
"Both Fiat Chrysler and PSA have a lot of quirky city cars that couldn't be further from what US car shoppers want right now," said Caldwell.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/31/business/fiat-chrysler-psa-group/index.html

2019-10-31 11:22:12Z
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Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot owner agree to merge in mega auto deal - CNN

Shareholders of each automaker would own 50% of the combined operation, the companies said in a joint statement on Thursday. A binding agreement could be finalized within weeks, the statement said.
The combined company would be based in the Netherlands, which is the current headquarters of Fiat Chrysler. John Elkann, the current chairman of Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), would perform the same role at the combined company, while PSA Group chief executive Carlos Tavares would be CEO.
The company would rank among the largest automakers in the world. Fiat Chrysler and PSA (PUGOY) sold a combined 8.7 million vehicles last year, just ahead of GM (GM), which sold 8.3 million, and not far behind Volkswagen (VLKAF) and Toyota (TM), which each sold over 10 million.
The merger comes amid a global sales slowdown. At the same time, carmakers are scrambling to invest in the electric and hybrid technologies needed to meet strict new emissions targets in China and Europe. The autonomous vehicles of the future also present a threat to traditional industry business models.
The huge amount of capital needed to meet these new challenges has forced some automakers to find partners and turned others into acquisition targets.
"We view the combination of these two companies as reasonable given global competition, high capital intensity, and industry disruption from electrified powertrain as well as autonomous technologies," Richard Hilgert, a senior equity analyst at Morningstar, said in a research note on Wednesday.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/31/business/fiat-chrysler-psa-group/index.html

2019-10-31 08:34:41Z
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Ford and UAW reach quick deal to avoid a strike - CNN

Less than a week after members of the United Auto Workers union returned to work at GM (GM), negotiators for the UAW and Ford (F) announced late Wednesday they had reached a tentative agreement.
While there had been some preliminary talks between the union and Ford before and even during the GM strike, Ford negotiations only moved to the front burner for the union on Monday.
The deal still needs to be ratified by the 55,000 union members at Ford before it can go into effect. Neither the union nor company would disclose any details of the agreement.
But the quick settlement was a striking contrast with the contentious talks at GM. Nearly 50,000 GM workers were on strike from Sept. 16 until members there ratified a new deal and started returning to work this past Saturday. GM disclosed this week that it expects the strike cost it $2.9 billion.
The auto industry is facing a slowdown in sales and the risk of further declines if the US economy continues to slow. It is also facing the need to spend billions to develop the next generation of vehicles, electric and self-driving cars that may not be profitable for years.
Ford has said it plans to spend $11 billion in the coming few years to restructure its business globally to free up funds to develop electric and autonomous vehicles. But while it is profitable, it recently lowered its profit forecast for the rest of this year. And the cost of its restructuring plans was a major factor in having its credit rating recently reduced to junk bond status.
"It appears both parties took a sane approach, and avoided a painful strike that would have benefited neither of them," said Patrick Anderson, CEO of Anderson Economic Group, a Michigan research firm that follows the auto industry.
A successful ratification vote is by no means assured. Four years ago only 51% of the union members at Ford voted in favor of a deal that included their first pay raises in more than a decade.
Driving the Shelby GT500, the most powerful car Ford has ever made
But it always seemed unlikely that the Ford workers would follow GM workers out on strike. There has not been a work stoppage at Ford since 1976.
And the biggest point of contention at GM -- the automaker's decision to close three US plants where work was halted earlier this year -- was not present at Ford, where no US plant closings are planned.
The union had vowed to make GM shift work back from Mexico to try to revive the plants. While GM agreed to build an electric truck planned at a date yet to be determined at a fourth plant slated for closure, it would not shift work back from Mexico to save any of the other three plants.
The workers at Ford will likely get many of the same terms as found in the GM contract. Once the union reaches a deal with one US automaker, it strives to get the other two unionized companies to follow that pattern.
Under the deal at GM, hourly workers get an $11,000 signing bonus, a 6% raise over the four-year life of the contract, an agreement to allow many temporary workers to be hired on a permanent basis, and the health care coverage left essentially unchanged despite the company's desire to have workers assume a much greater share of the cost.
If Ford workers agree to a new contract that includes those provisions, they will benefit from not losing six weeks of pay in order to receive those gains.
Once the Ford ratification vote is complete, likely in the next couple of weeks, the union will turn to the third unionized US automaker, Fiat Chrysler (FCAU). Contract talks there could be complicated by the potential announcement of a merger with French automaker PSA, the owner of Peugeot.
-- CNN Business' Vanessa Yurkevich contributed to this story

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/31/business/ford-uaw-deal/

2019-10-31 05:10:13Z
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Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot confirm deal to create the world's fourth-largest carmaker - CNBC

A Jeep Renegade 4x4 e is presented at the Geneva Motor Show March 5, 2019. Signage in the background says"'FCA Fiat Chrysler Automobiles," to which Jeep belongs.

Uli Deck | picture alliance | Getty Images

Peugeot (PSA) and Fiat Chrysler (FCA) confirmed their intention to merge on Thursday, in what would be a 50-50 share swap and create the world's fourth-largest carmaker.

The new company's shares will be listed in New York, Paris and Milan with FCA's John Elkann becoming the chairman and Peugeot's Carlos Tavares becoming the CEO. The proposed tie-up would reportedly create an industry behemoth with 8.7 million vehicle sales, $190 billion in turnover and a combined 400,000 employees.

"Discussions have opened a path to the creation of a new group with global scale and resources owned 50% by Groupe PSA shareholders and 50% by FCA shareholders," they said in a joint statement on Thursday morning.

"In a rapidly changing environment, with new challenges in connected, electrified, shared and autonomous mobility, the combined entity would leverage its strong global R&D (research and development) footprint and ecosystem to foster innovation and meet these challenges with speed and capital efficiency."

Early reports of the merger talks — which would create a new group worth roughly $50 billion — have moved share prices for both automakers this week. Italy's Fiat Chrysler saw its stock surge as much as 8% on Tuesday and added another 5% on Wednesday. Peugeot shares actually fell 8.8% as markets opened in Europe on Thursday.

Executives at the firms have briefed regulators in the U.S. and France, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing unnamed sources. The confirmation of the deal comes about five months after Fiat Chrysler ended merger discussions with PSA's French rival, Renault. However, this new merger is unlikely to face the same interference from the French government with some positive comments already emanating from Paris.

French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said in a statement that he welcomed the deal but said France would be particularly vigilant on the preservation of its industrial footprint in the country and the location of its head offices.

"This merger is a response to the automotive sector's need to consolidate in order to face the challenges of mobility in the future," he said in a statement Thursday, according to a CNBC translation.

"France should be proud of its car industry which has demonstrated its capacity for research and technological innovation, particularly in the fields of electric and hybrid (vehicles)."

The new boards are now expected to finalize discussions over the coming weeks and draw up and a memorandum of understanding.

—CNBC's Michael Wayland and Phil LeBeau contributed to this article.

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2019-10-31 07:43:07Z
52780422114346

Rabu, 30 Oktober 2019

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: GE, Yum, Molson Coors, Garmin, Amgen & more - CNBC

Check out the companies making headlines before the bell:

General Electric – General Electric reported quarterly profit of 15 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also exceeded forecasts and GE raised its full-year cash flow forecast.

Yum Brands – Yum earned an adjusted 80 cents per share for its latest quarter, 14 cents a share shy of consensus forecasts. Revenue also came in below estimates, hurt by a weaker-than-expected performance at its Pizza Hut and KFC units.

Anixter International – The software company agreed to be acquired by private-equity firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice for $81 per share in cash. The total value of the deal is $3.8 billion including assumed debt, with the transaction expected to close by the end of 2020's first quarter.

Molson Coors – The beer brewer fell a penny a share short of estimates, with quarterly profit of $1.48 per share. Revenue also came in short of forecasts and Molson Coors announced a restructuring that will slash up to 500 jobs.

Garmin – The GPS and fitness device maker earned $1.19 per share for its latest quarter, well above the 95 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped forecasts. Garmin saw better-than-expected results in all its units, as well as higher-than-expected profit margins.

Tupperware – Tupperware earned an adjusted 43 cents per share, well short of the 62 cents a share consensus estimate. The housewares maker's revenue also came in short of forecasts. The company said it was experiencing challenging trends in markets like the U.S., China, Canada, and Brazil. Tupperware also cut its full-year earnings outlook.

Johnson & Johnson – J&J said its testing found no asbestos in its Johnson's Baby Powder. That testing included a single bottle that the Food and Drug Administration had said contained trace amounts of asbestos, prompting J&J to recall a lot of 33,000 bottles earlier this month.

Fiat Chrysler – Fiat Chrysler said it was in talks about a possible merger with Peugeot maker PSA that could create a combined company worth about $50 billion. Fiat Chrysler had abandoned talks earlier this year to merge with France's Renault.

Amgen – Amgen reported quarterly profit of $3.66 per share, 13 cents a share above estimates. The biotech company's revenue also beat forecasts and Amgen raised its full-year guidance amid strong sales of its biosimilar drugs.

Electronic Arts – Electronic Arts reported quarterly profit of 96 cents per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. The video game maker's revenue also topped estimates. Electronic Arts saw stronger digital sales, including game downloads and in-game purchases.

Mattel – Mattel came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 26 cents per share. The toy maker's revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. Mattel also said it is restating some past earnings following an internal investigation into accounting issues, and the company's chief financial officer is resigning.

Mondelez International – Mondelez reported quarterly profit of 64 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. Revenue was slightly above forecasts. The snack maker raised its full-year outlook, as sales volume increases across its major markets.

FireEye – FireEye raised its annual revenue guidance, after doubling estimates by reporting quarterly profit of 2 cents per share. The cybersecurity company's revenue also beat forecasts as it sold more cloud subscriptions.

Advanced Micro Devices – AMD reported adjusted earnings of 18 cents per share, in line with Street forecasts. Revenue was very slightly below estimates, although the chipmaker reported better-than-expected results for its data center business.

Yum China – Yum China beat analyst estimates by 3 cents A share, with quarterly profit of 58 cents per share. The restaurant operator's revenue was below forecasts, however, as were comparable-restaurant sales at KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell.

Sony – Sony reported its best-ever second-quarter profit, driven by strong sales of its image sensors. Sales helped offset a drop in earnings from Sony's gaming division.

Edison International – Edison's Southern California Edison unit said its equipment will likely be found to have been associated with a 2018 California wildfire that damaged more than 1,000 homes in Los Angeles and Ventura counties.

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2019-10-30 11:43:17Z
52780421997295

Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: GE, Yum, Molson Coors, Garmin, Amgen & more - CNBC

Check out the companies making headlines before the bell:

General Electric – General Electric reported quarterly profit of 15 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. Revenue also exceeded forecasts and GE raised its full-year cash flow forecast.

Yum Brands – Yum earned an adjusted 80 cents per share for its latest quarter, 14 cents a share shy of consensus forecasts. Revenue also came in below estimates, hurt by a weaker-than-expected performance at its Pizza Hut and KFC units.

Anixter International – The software company agreed to be acquired by private-equity firm Clayton, Dubilier & Rice for $81 per share in cash. The total value of the deal is $3.8 billion including assumed debt, with the transaction expected to close by the end of 2020's first quarter.

Molson Coors – The beer brewer fell a penny a share short of estimates, with quarterly profit of $1.48 per share. Revenue also came in short of forecasts and Molson Coors announced a restructuring that will slash up to 500 jobs.

Garmin – The GPS and fitness device maker earned $1.19 per share for its latest quarter, well above the 95 cents a share consensus estimate. Revenue also topped forecasts. Garmin saw better-than-expected results in all its units, as well as higher-than-expected profit margins.

Tupperware – Tupperware earned an adjusted 43 cents per share, well short of the 62 cents a share consensus estimate. The housewares maker's revenue also came in short of forecasts. The company said it was experiencing challenging trends in markets like the U.S., China, Canada, and Brazil. Tupperware also cut its full-year earnings outlook.

Johnson & Johnson – J&J said its testing found no asbestos in its Johnson's Baby Powder. That testing included a single bottle that the Food and Drug Administration had said contained trace amounts of asbestos, prompting J&J to recall a lot of 33,000 bottles earlier this month.

Fiat Chrysler – Fiat Chrysler said it was in talks about a possible merger with Peugeot maker PSA that could create a combined company worth about $50 billion. Fiat Chrysler had abandoned talks earlier this year to merge with France's Renault.

Amgen – Amgen reported quarterly profit of $3.66 per share, 13 cents a share above estimates. The biotech company's revenue also beat forecasts and Amgen raised its full-year guidance amid strong sales of its biosimilar drugs.

Electronic Arts – Electronic Arts reported quarterly profit of 96 cents per share, 10 cents a share above estimates. The video game maker's revenue also topped estimates. Electronic Arts saw stronger digital sales, including game downloads and in-game purchases.

Mattel – Mattel came in 10 cents a share above estimates, with quarterly profit of 26 cents per share. The toy maker's revenue was slightly above Wall Street forecasts. Mattel also said it is restating some past earnings following an internal investigation into accounting issues, and the company's chief financial officer is resigning.

Mondelez International – Mondelez reported quarterly profit of 64 cents per share, 4 cents a share above estimates. Revenue was slightly above forecasts. The snack maker raised its full-year outlook, as sales volume increases across its major markets.

FireEye – FireEye raised its annual revenue guidance, after doubling estimates by reporting quarterly profit of 2 cents per share. The cybersecurity company's revenue also beat forecasts as it sold more cloud subscriptions.

Advanced Micro Devices – AMD reported adjusted earnings of 18 cents per share, in line with Street forecasts. Revenue was very slightly below estimates, although the chipmaker reported better-than-expected results for its data center business.

Yum China – Yum China beat analyst estimates by 3 cents A share, with quarterly profit of 58 cents per share. The restaurant operator's revenue was below forecasts, however, as were comparable-restaurant sales at KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell.

Sony – Sony reported its best-ever second-quarter profit, driven by strong sales of its image sensors. Sales helped offset a drop in earnings from Sony's gaming division.

Edison International – Edison's Southern California Edison unit said its equipment will likely be found to have been associated with a 2018 California wildfire that damaged more than 1,000 homes in Los Angeles and Ventura counties.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/30/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-premarket-ge-yum-molson-coors-garmin-amgen-more.html

2019-10-30 11:42:28Z
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