Jumat, 21 Juni 2019

Canopy Growth Shares Slump After Q4 Earnings; Canadian Pot Sales Slow - TheStreet.com

Canopy Growth Corp. (CGC - Get Report) shares were indicated sharply lower in pre-market trading Friday after the Canadian cannabis group posted a wider-than-expected fourth quarter loss and said recreational sales slowed from the previous three month period. 

Canopy Growth said its loss for the three months ending in March came in at C$0.98 per share, well shy of the C$0.32 loss expected by analysts that cover the cannabis growing group, taking its full-year loss to C$670 million ($507.87 million). Group revenues, however, rose 191% to C$226.3 million for the full year, the company said, with the fourth quarter tally coming in at $94.1 million, just ahead of the Street's C$92.6 million forecast.

Canopy also cautioned that its recently approved deal to acquire rights for U.S. based Acreage Holdings will lead to a charge that will have "a materially negative impact on net income in the first quarter of fiscal 2020."

"The fourth quarter wraps up a historic year with major steps taken in Canada to build-out our national platform while scaling all of our processes to bring cannabis to market. The third quarter of the year benefitted from months of advanced production while the fourth quarter relied more on efficient throughput and a more automated platform," said CEO Bruce Linton. "With more product formats coming to the Canadian market later in the year, we are working hard to ensure that we are ready to hit the ground running with products, formats and brands that Canadians trust."

Canopy Growth's U.S.-listed shares were marked 4.6% lower in pre-market trading, indicating an opening bell price of $41.70 each, a move that would still leave the stock with a 55.2% year-to-date gain.

The company said the material non-cash charge it anticipates taking will occur "upon approval of certain modifications of the investor rights agreement with Constellation Brands, as well as terms of existing warrants."

Constellation Brands (STZ - Get Report) took a CA$5 billion ($4 billion) stake in Canopy last year, to help fund the company's expansion in Canada, where marijuana use was legalized last year, and in other countries around the world where restrictions on its use are relaxing.

Recreational cannabis sales in Canada, which became the world's second country to legalize use of the drug in October of last year, slowed 3.8% to C$68.9 million, the company said. Medical marijuana sales in Canada also slowed over the three months ending in March by 2.5% to C$68.8 million.

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https://www.thestreet.com/investing/earnings/canopy-growth-shares-slump-after-q4-earnings-canadian-pot-sales-slow-14996688

2019-06-21 10:08:30Z
CBMiemh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LnRoZXN0cmVldC5jb20vaW52ZXN0aW5nL2Vhcm5pbmdzL2Nhbm9weS1ncm93dGgtc2hhcmVzLXNsdW1wLWFmdGVyLXE0LWVhcm5pbmdzLWNhbmFkaWFuLXBvdC1zYWxlcy1zbG93LTE0OTk2Njg40gF-aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cudGhlc3RyZWV0LmNvbS9hbXAvaW52ZXN0aW5nL2Vhcm5pbmdzL2Nhbm9weS1ncm93dGgtc2hhcmVzLXNsdW1wLWFmdGVyLXE0LWVhcm5pbmdzLWNhbmFkaWFuLXBvdC1zYWxlcy1zbG93LTE0OTk2Njg4

Dollars in the detail; banks pan for gold in 'data lakes' - CNA

LONDON: From sending special offers on restaurants to burger-loving current account holders to selling anonymised credit card records, banks are racing to monetize the huge troves of data they hold.

Wall Street trails Silicon Valley in using customer information to boost revenue but with tech giants such as Amazon and Google wading onto their turf with forays into lending and payments, banks including JPMorgan, HSBC and Barclays are moving to narrow the gap.

Mining mountains of trading data to predict stock moves; partnering with retailers on marketing campaigns and using artificial intelligence (AI) tools to try and speed up credit decisions are some of the areas banks are focusing on.

In the digital era, knowing how much people earn, where they spend it and what they buy – information some wouldn't divulge to their closest confidants – is valuable, particularly when banks' earnings from lending and trading are under pressure from persistently low interest rates and tougher regulation.

"We are now seeing some amazing uses of data in banking, and the reason is pretty simple: they know their clients better than anyone, they have a name and address, information about what you're buying and once you have those you can do so much," said Craig Macdonald, head of data monetization at Accenture.

The surge in data mining is happening against a changed regulatory backdrop. New European Union (EU) rules introduced last year allow technology companies to access banks' customer data if they have customers' permission.

The EU has also toughened its privacy laws. Companies now have to get permission before they can collect and use personal information gleaned online from people living in the bloc.

But even with the extra protections, sensitive data is still at risk of being exploited because many people are not aware of how they can shield themselves.

Less than a third of Europeans were aware of all their data rights and only 13 percent said they read privacy statements fully, according to a poll this year of 27,000 EU citizens.

Banks do not disclose how much they earn from analyzing and marketing customer data or other ways in which they monetize the information they hold. But, in comparison to the billions earned from lending and trading, the amounts generated are likely to be small.

"If there was a gold mine people would probably have found it by now," said Benjamin Ensor, an analyst at Forrester. "But if you can generate some marginal incremental revenue at relatively little cost why wouldn't you do that?"

CUSTOMER 12345

Tie-ups with retail firms is one way banks are monetizing their data.

Customers of Britain's Lloyds and Spain's Santander can get special offers from a range of retailers after the banks joined a digital loyalty scheme run by US-based data advertising firm Cardlytics.

The scheme uses spending data to give customers discounts at shops they already frequent or which are in their neighborhood. So, burger-aficionados get deals at local burger restaurants and fashion fans get ads about discounts at clothing stores.

The banks get a percentage of any purchase that results and Cardlytics gets insights on consumer behavior which help the retailers tailor and fund the offers and discounts.

Cardlytics, Lloyds and Santander declined to comment on what cut the banks get from purchases made through the deal.

"We leverage transaction data that's created every time the card is tapped, every time a direct debit is made by a customer, in an anonymised way," said Campbell Shaw, London-based head of bank partnerships at Cardlytics.

"We only need to know it’s customer 12345, we don't need to know the name of the customer for any reason."

Bank clients have to enroll in the rewards program.

A spokesman for Santander said their customer spending data was only shared with Cardlytics if customers choose to receive retail offers. The bank said the information was shared on an anonymised basis meaning the customer's name is replaced by a unique identifying number.

Lloyds declined to comment on the specifics of the deal. Its privacy policy said the scheme would use customers' mobile location data only with their permission.

Even with the tougher regulations around big data, privacy experts warn there is still scope for abuse, for example, if highly-indebted people are targeted with unsuitable offers for high interest loans or credit cards.

"If you can use data to get a customer to buy something that they otherwise wouldn't, it's good for the bank but not necessarily for the customer and the potential for misuse is significant," said Paul Bernal, an expert in data privacy at University of East Anglia.

Ashok Vaswani, global head of consumer and payments at Barclays, told attendees at AI conference CogX in London this month that the bank would crunch data in an ethical way.

"We're going to do it in a transparent and understandable fashion," he said. "If I can't explain it I'm not going to offer it."

Like many banks, Barclays markets anonymised spending data to a range of businesses including mall operators who can see from the information which retail chains attract the most customers and are therefore worth targeting as tenants.

Barclays said it doesn't share personally identifiable information and it sends privacy notices to customers through a combination of email, text, post and via mobile apps. It also has a page on its website explaining its data privacy policy.

DATA LAKES

Using data to improve risk analysis, make faster credit decisions and anticipate customer needs is particularly appealing for banks looking to cut costs.

HSBC plans to use AI tools to rake through its 10 petabytes of data – roughly equivalent to the storage capacity of 2 million DVDs – from investment banking clients in 66 countries.

Europe's largest bank has struck a deal with Element AI, a Canadian company, to help it tap this so-called ‘data lake'.

JPMorgan, meanwhile, is developing a raft of AI applications to better predict stock moves and to map and mine 3 billion transactions it handles annually.

The bank hired Manuela Veloso, the head of the machine learning department at Carnegie Mellon University, to be its head of AI research last year.

In comparison to newer, tech-focused companies, banks are often at a disadvantage when they look to extract value from their data – they lack inhouse experts and their businesses are often siloed with legacy IT systems.

To speed things up, lenders are set to spend US$26 billion on big data and business analytics this year, according to analysis by International Data Corporation, up from US$23 billion last year and US$19.7 billion in 2017.

Hires for senior leaders with digital experience at financial firms have doubled year on year for the last five years, according to London-based headhunters Heidrick & Struggles.

“These skills are now a necessity within senior leadership teams," says Marcus De Luca, UK financial services practice leader at the recruiter.

“We are often asked if there is someone who works at Amazon, Google, Netflix, or Facebook who could be tempted to join."

(Editing by Carmel Crimmins)

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https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/dollars-in-the-detail--banks-pan-for-gold-in--data-lakes--11648968

2019-06-21 06:24:16Z
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Kamis, 20 Juni 2019

Slack Is Going Public Without an IPO. Here's How a Direct Offering Works - Fortune

Welcome! To bring you the best content on our sites and applications, Meredith partners with third party advertisers to serve digital ads, including personalized digital ads. Those advertisers use tracking technologies to collect information about your activity on our sites and applications and across the Internet and your other apps and devices.

You always have the choice to experience our sites without personalized advertising based on your web browsing activity by visiting the DAA’s Consumer Choice page, the NAI's website, and/or the EU online choices page, from each of your browsers or devices. To avoid personalized advertising based on your mobile app activity, you can install the DAA’s AppChoices app here. You can find much more information about your privacy choices in our privacy policy. 

Even if you choose not to have your activity tracked by third parties for advertising services, you will still see non-personalized ads on our site.

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EU Data Subject Requests

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http://fortune.com/2019/06/20/slack-stock-ipo-dpo-direct-listing/

2019-06-20 15:37:00Z
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S&P 500 Sets Record High as Fed Signals Interest Rate Cuts - TheStreet.com

  • The S&P 500 set an intraday record high Thursday as investors were spurred on by signals of lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve.
  • Oracle (ORCL - Get Report) rose after the enterprise software company topped analysts' earnings and revenue expectations for its fiscal fourth quarter, and said first-quarter profit likely would top forecasts. Oracle is Real Money's Stock of the Day.
  • Tesla (TSLA - Get Report) shares fell after analysts at Goldman Sachs cut their price target on the stock while arguing that Wall Street demand forecasts for the clean-energy carmaker likely are too optimistic.

Wall Street Overview

The S&P 500 set an intraday record high Thursday as investors were spurred on by signals of lower interest rates from the Federal Reserve.

The S&P 500 surpassed its April 30 closing record of 2,945.64 and was up recently by 0.84% to 2,951. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 215 points, or 0.81%, to 26,719, roughly 100 points shy of its own record of 26,828.39. The Nasdaq was up 0.94%.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and his colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee dropped a reference that they would be "patient" in monitoring incoming data in a statement Wednesday, following the central bank's decision to hold interest rates steady. The Fed instead said it would act "as appropriate" in order to sustain an economic expansion of nearly 10 years.

Powell defied President Donald Trump by holding rates steady, but he did prime the market for multiple rate cuts between now and the end of the year.

"Stocks' resilience in the face of growing U.S.-Iranian geopolitical tension is a stark reminder not to fight the Fed," said Alec Young, managing director of global markets research, FTSE Russell. "As the central bank's dovish messaging continues to drive interest rates lower, it's inoculating investors from other risks as the cost of capital and competition from bonds both fall. It will be interesting to see if this continues should next week's G20 meeting fail to live up to investors' lofty expectations for a US-China trade breakthrough."

Oil prices rose sharply Thursday after the United States confirmed a naval surveillance drone was shot down over the Strait of Hormuz by an Iranian missile. Prices surged even more when Trump tweeted, "Iran made a very big mistake!"

Brent crude was up 2.96% to $63.65 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude rose 4.2% to $56.21 a barrel.

Oracle (ORCL - Get Report) rose 8.6% to $57.19 after the enterprise software company topped analysts' earnings and revenue expectations for its fiscal fourth quarter, and said first-quarter profit likely would top forecasts. Oracle is Real Money's Stock of the Day.

Tesla (TSLA - Get Report)  shares fell 1.1% to $223.99 after analysts at Goldman Sachs cut their price target on the stock while arguing that Wall Street demand forecasts for the clean-energy carmaker are likely too optimistic.

Shares of Darden Restaurants (DRI - Get Report) fell 1% to $116.22 after the operator of Olive Garden, Longhorn Steakhouse and Cheddar's Scratch Chicken restaurant chains missed Wall Street's fourth-quarter earnings expectations.

Kroger ( KR - Get Report) shares fell 1.1% to $23.38 after the grocery store chain reported fiscal first-quarter earnings just ahead of analysts' forecasts amid improving sales of its Kroger-branded products, though not enough to impress shareholders.

The New York Stock Exchange set the reference price for Slack Technologies' direct public offering Thursday at $26. The workplace messaging platform's DPO bypasses the traditional underwriting process. Slack will trade under symbol " (WORK) ."

In economic news, the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's manufacturing index fell to 0.3 in June from 16.6 in May, the lowest read since February, when the index fell to hit zero. Initial jobless claims, a rough way to measure layoffs, fell by 6,000 to 216,000 in the seven days ended June 15. Economists were expecting estimated new claims to total a seasonally adjusted 220,000.

Canopy Growth (CGC - Get Report) , whose shareholders approved a $3.4 billion merger with U.S. cannabis company Acreage Holdings (ACRGF)  on Wednesday, is scheduled to report earnings after Thursday's closing bell.

Watch: Canopy Has Some Built in Advantages Over Cannabis Competitors

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https://www.thestreet.com/markets/sp-500-breaks-all-time-record-on-fed-signals-of-lower-interest-rates-14996235

2019-06-20 14:30:00Z
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S&P 500 hits first intraday record since May as Fed abandons ‘patience’ - MarketWatch

  • S&P 500 index notches first intraday record since May 1
  • The Dow is trading at its highest level since its Oct. 3 all-time high
  • Gold surges 2.6% to $1,384.50 an ounce, hitting a 5-year high
  • Enterprise-software messaging company Slack Technologies is slated to list on the NYSE

U.S. stock indexes Thursday extended gains to a fourth straight day, testing fresh records after the Federal Reserve signaled that policy easing may be forthcoming to sustain the economy.

How are benchmarks faring?

The Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.71% rose 232 points, or 0.9%, at 27,735, marking its highest trading level since Oct.3. The S&P 500 index SPX, +0.69% gained 27 points, or 0.9%, at 2,953, trading above its April 30 closing record at 2,945.83 and touching a new intraday peak at 2,956.20, surpassing its May 1 intraday record. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, +0.75% climbed 88 points, or 1.1%, trading about 1% from its May 3 closing high at 8,164.

What’s driving the market?

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday strongly implied that the central bank would cut benchmark interest rates, currently at a range of 2.25%-2.50%, in the coming weeks if the economic outlook buffeted by U.S.-China trade tensions doesn’t show signs of improvement.

“The case for somewhat more accommodative policy has strengthened,” Powell said at a news conference on Wednesday to discuss the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee’s highly anticipated decision. Policy makers kept rates unchanged as expected but removed the word “patient” from its updated policy statement, suggesting that it is ready to act soon.

Although markets have been widely anticipating that the Fed would respond to growing signs of stress in the economy, the central bank’s posture on looser monetary policy was seen as providing a strong case for the continued rise in stocks despite concerns about lurking economic problems.

The Fed remained mostly optimistic about the outlook, but said inflationary pressures have receded, compelling it to lower its forecast for PCE inflation in 2019 to 1.5% from 1.8%, below its 2% target. At the same time, it left its gross domestic product estimate at 2.1%.

Curiously low inflation has been often cited by FOMC members as one of the key reasons for its doubts about its monetary policy path. The Fed next meets July 30-31, while President Donald Trump is expected to speak to Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the coming Group of 20 meeting of well-developed nations in Japan in late June, where a detente on trade policy could be reached.

See: Recap of Fed decision and Powell press conference

Dovish rhetoric from central-bank policy makers across the globe this week has helped to send commodity prices, and particularly gold, rocketing higher, with heightened expectation that interest rates, which can undercut appetite for bullion, will could be lowered.

Bank of Japan Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda and the Bank of England on Thursday, joined the chorus of bankers including Powell and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, signaling a readiness to increase stimulus should global risks at least partly spurred by trade, worsen.

The BOJ’s Kuroda said “we’ll of course consider expanding stimulus without hesitation,” he told a news conference, according to Reuters.

Which data are in focus?

The Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index in June fell to just 0.3 after registering a four-month high of 16.6 in the prior month. Any reading above zero indicates improving conditions. Economists polled by MarketWatch expected an 8 reading.

Initial jobless claims, a rough way to measure layoffs, fell by 6,000 to 216,000 in the seven days ended June 15, the government said Thursday.

What are strategists saying?

“The indices are set to open higher along with soaring gold and oil prices. Mounting geopolitical tensions continue to ignite a rush to safety while hopes of a rate cut dominate the equity markets,” Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities.

“Powell’s press conference [on Wednesday] showed some reluctance, but it seems markets are certain the Fed will cut in July. If data deterioration is worst than expected, calls for a 50-basis cut at the July meeting will grow in the coming weeks,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda in a daily research note.

Which stocks are in focus

Slack Technologies Inc. WORK, +0.00% is set to make its debut on the New York Stock Exchange in an unusual direct listing of the enterprise software company. Here’s what you should know.

How are other assets trading?

Before the U.S. markets opened on Thursday, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI, +1.23% rose 1.2% and China’s Shanghai Composite Index SHCOMP, +2.38% rallied by 2.4%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK, +0.60% meanwhile, closed up 0.6%, while in Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP, +0.57% traded 0.6% higher.

Gold futures GCQ19, +2.71% meanwhile, surged 2.6%, to the highest level since 2013 at $1,384.50 an ounce, while the 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, -1.91% touched a yield below 2%, and the U.S. dollar, as measured by the ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.43% fell 0.5% to 96.67.

Crude-oil prices CLU19, +4.83%  surged amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Iran says it shot down a U.S. drone in its airspace.

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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-poised-to-surge-to-highest-level-in-812-months-gold-hits-5-year-high-as-fed-signals-cuts-2019-06-20

2019-06-20 14:10:00Z
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S&P 500 set to carve out its first intraday record since May as Fed abandons ‘patience’ - MarketWatch

  • S&P 500 index will mark an intraday high at the open, its first since May 1
  • The Dow is on track to open up, at around its highest level since its Oct. 3 all-time high
  • Gold surges 2.6% to $1,384.50 an ounce, hitting a 5-year high
  • Enterprise-software messaging company Slack Technologies is slated to list on the NYSE

U.S. stock indexes Thursday were set to extend gains to a fourth straight day near records as the Federal Reserve signaled that policy easing may be forthcoming to sustain the economy.

How are benchmarks faring?

Stock futures were surging early Thursday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average YMU19, +0.89% up 234 points, or 0.8%, at 27,769, those for the S&P 500 index ESU19, +0.99% gaining 28.60 points, or 1%, at 2,962.25, while Nasdaq-100 futures NQU19, +1.45% were surging 109 points, or 1.4%, at 7,811.50.

If equity-futures gains hold, the Dow DJIA, +0.15% would hit its highest level since Oct. 3 when the blue-chip benchmark put in a record at 26,828.39, the S&P 500 SPX, +0.30% would trade above an intraday record last hit on May 1 at 2,954.13, while the Nasdaq Composite Index COMP, +0.42% sits about 1% short of its May 3 all-time peak.

What’s driving the market?

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday strongly implied that the central bank would cut benchmark interest rates, currently at a range of 2.25%-2.50%, in the coming weeks if the economic outlook buffeted by U.S.-China trade tensions doesn’t show signs of improvement.

“The case for somewhat more accommodative policy has strengthened,” Powell said at a news conference on Wednesday to discuss the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee’s highly anticipated decision. Policy makers kept rates unchanged as expected but removed the word “patient” from its updated policy statement, suggesting that it is ready to act soon.

Although markets have been widely anticipating that Powell & Co. would respond to growing signs of stress in the economy, the central bank’s posture on looser monetary policy was seen as providing a strong case for the continued rise in stocks despite concerns about lurking economic problems.

The Fed remained mostly optimistic about the outlook, but said inflationary pressures have receded, compelling it to lower its forecast for PCE inflation in 2019 to 1.5% from 1.8%, below its 2% target. At the same time, it left its gross domestic product estimate at 2.1%.

Curiously low inflation has been often cited by FOMC members as one of the key reasons for its doubts about its monetary policy path. The Fed next meets July 30-31, while President Donald Trump is expected to speak to Chinese President Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the coming Group of 20 meeting of well-developed nations in Japan, where a detente on trade policy could be reached.

See: Recap of Fed decision and Powell press conference

Dovish rhetoric from central-bank policy makers across the globe has helped to send commodity prices, and particularly gold, rocketing higher, with heightened expectation that interest rates, which can undercut appetite for bullion, will could be lowered.

Bank of Japan Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda and the Bank of England on Thursday, joined the chorus of bankers including Powell and European Central Bank President Mario Draghi, signaling a readiness to increase stimulus should global risks at least partly spurred by trade, worsen.

The BOE said rising tariff tensions are darkening the outlook for the global economy. Kuroda said “we’ll of course consider expanding stimulus without hesitation,” he told a news conference, according to Reuters.

Which data are in focus?

The Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index in June fell to just 0.3 after registering a four-month high of 16.6 in the prior month. Any reading above zero indicates improving conditions. Economists polled by MarketWatch expected an 8 reading.

Initial jobless claims, a rough way to measure layoffs, fell by 6,000 to 216,000 in the seven days ended June 15, the government said Thursday.

What are strategists saying?

“The indices are set to open higher along with soaring gold and oil prices. Mounting geopolitical tensions continue to ignite a rush to safety while hopes of a rate cut dominate the equity markets,” Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities.

“Powell’s press conference [on Wednesday] showed some reluctance, but it seems markets are certain the Fed will cut in July. If data deterioration is worst than expected, calls for a 50-basis cut at the July meeting will grow in the coming weeks,” wrote Edward Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda in a daily research note.

Which stocks are in focus

Slack Technologies Inc. WORK, +0.00% is set to make its debut on the New York Stock Exchange in a highly anticipated direct listing of the enterprise software company. Here’s what you should know.

How are other assets trading?

Before the U.S. markets opened Wednesday, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI, +1.23% rose 1.2% and China’s Shanghai Composite Index SHCOMP, +2.38% rallied by 2.4%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK, +0.60% meanwhile, closed up 0.6%, while in Europe, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP, +0.70% traded 0.6% higher.

Gold futures GCQ19, +2.92% meanwhile, surged 2.6%, touching its highest level since 2013 at $1,384.50 an ounce, while the 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, -1.11% touched a yield below 2%, while the U.S. dollar, as measured by the ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, -0.51% fell 0.5% to 96.67.

Crude-oil prices CLU19, +4.35%  surged amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Iran says it shot down a U.S. drone in its airspace.

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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-poised-to-surge-to-highest-level-in-812-months-gold-hits-5-year-high-as-fed-signals-cuts-2019-06-20

2019-06-20 13:09:00Z
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Slack going public in a red-hot IPO market, with a twist - CNBC

The Slack Technologies application is displayed on an Apple iPhone in an arranged photograph taken in Arlington, Virginia on Monday, April 29, 2019.

Andrew Harrer | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Workplace-messaging firm Slack is about to go public in a red-hot IPO market, but it's approach to going public — using a "direct listing" — is slightly different than an IPO.

The "direct listing" method revives some of the same issues and anxieties that came up when Spotify went public using the same method.

But the world is a lot different than when Spotify went public on April 3, 2018.

Direct listings allow a company to go public without involving underwriters — those intermediaries who buy shares from the company or insiders and then sell them to the public. Instead, the shares simply begin trading on an exchange, in this case the NYSE.

Spotify was the first large company to use a direct listing. The worry at that time was simple: direct listings were an untested way to go public. There were two concerns: 1) because direct listings do not have an initial price that is sold to investors, it was not clear where the stock would open, and 2) In a direct listing, most of the shares are immediately available for trading (in Spotify's case, about 96%).

There was effectively no lock-up period. The fear was that insiders would dump the stock en masse on the first day, leading to chaos.

Reference price

Neither concern proved to be a major issue. Instead of an initial price that underwriters set to sell stock, Spotify and its advisors set a "reference price" of $132 that was roughly based on recent private trades. Spotify opened at $165.90 and closed at $149 on its first day of trading, up about 12 percent.

Fast forward to Slack, and those anxieties are much less evident. The NYSE has set a "reference price" of $26, based roughly on the price of private trades over the last few months (it has traded privately in a range of $25.75-$31.50).

As for the amount of shares available to trade, Renaissance Capital, which runs the Renaissance Capital IPO ETF (IPO), a basket of roughly the last 60 large IPOs, estimates that 283 million of the 599 million shares outstanding will be available to trade (47%).

Why isn't the entire share count available to trade? Slack is restricting sales for those who bought private shares less than a year ago, and anyone who is an officer, director, or significant holder of the company.

A bigger concern is who might--or might not--be selling. The six largest shareholders (Accel, Andreessen Horowitz, Social Capital, CEO Stewart Butterfield, Softbank, and co-founder Cal Henderson) control about 60% of the stock. Some are restricted, but if the majority who are not decide to sit on their shares, supply/demand could be out of whack and the stock could be much more volatile.

As for the IPO environment, it's hard to envision a more perfect scenario. Investors have been eager to snap up any companies that show signs of growth this year, including those that are losing money:

Recent IPOs

(from initial price)

The two laggards — Uber (down 3%), and Lyft (down 11%), are in a space--ride-hailing — that investors believe may have a very hard time becoming profitable any time in the future.

Concerns

Slack does have high growth with recurring revenues, but it also has plenty of negatives: trading at roughly 34 times trailing revenues, losing money, and with a very low barrier to entry.

A bigger concern may be that growth is decelerating: "2Q and FY20 revenue and billings guidance does suggest a meaningful deceleration from current levels," DA Davidson analyst Rishi N. Jaluria wrote in a recent report, noting that first quarter revenue growth fell to 67% year-over-year from 78%.

The biggest concern, though, may be its size: depending on the price, almost $8 billion in stock could theoretically be available to trade. That is an awful lot for even a bull IPO market to absorb. By comparison, Uber was an $8 billion IPO.

"Big IPOs are harder to get elegantly into the market," Kathleeen Smith from Renaissance Capital told me.

The hope is that Slack will trade better long-term than Spotify, which is trading at $146, below the $149 price it closed at on its first day of trading in April, 2018.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/20/slack-going-public-in-a-red-hot-ipo-market-with-a-twist.html

2019-06-20 11:49:29Z
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