Jumat, 26 April 2019

Here's who stands to get rich from Uber's IPO - CNBC

Uber seeks to raise about $9 billion in cash in its initial public offering next month when it is expected to debut on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "UBER."

The company plans to offer 180 million shares at $44 to $50 per share, according to an updated filing released Friday morning, valuing the company between $80.53 billion and $91.51 billion on a fully diluted basis. The valuation is well below earlier reports that suggested Uber could be valued as high as $120 billion. At the low end of its price range, Uber's market cap would be $73.7 billion, which would even fall below its last private valuation of about $76 billion.

Even at the lower end of its pricing, Uber will still be the largest tech IPO to debut this year. The company may have scaled back expectations after seeing excitement around its rival Lyft's stock quickly fizzle out. The stock, which has a market cap of about $16 billion, is down more than 27% for the quarter since debuting in late March.

Still, Uber's IPO is set to make its top shareholders worth billions. Assuming Uber prices at $47 per share, the midpoint of its stated range, SoftBank stands to gain the most from the IPO. Based on its post-IPO share count in the filing, the firm would earn more than $10 billion in the offering. Even Uber's ousted former CEO and co-founder Travis Kalanick stands to gain $5.3 billion in the IPO, based on the same assumptions. His co-founder, Garrett Camp, stands to gain about $3.7 billion through LLCs he manages, under these assumptions.

Here's where each major shareholder will stand after the public offering, based on their post-IPO share counts and assuming Uber prices at the midpoint of its stated range at $47 per share:

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Watch: Uber anticipates IPO price between $44-50 per share

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/26/uber-ipo-the-largest-shareholders.html

2019-04-26 18:10:36Z
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Ford under criminal investigation for emissions testing problems - The Verge

Ford Motor Company admitted in a financial filing on Friday that it’s under investigation by the US Department of Justice over its internal emissions testing practices. The investigation is still in the “preliminary stages,” according to the automaker.

Notably, Ford says the investigation has nothing to do with the use of “defeat devices,” or software meant to deceive regulators, which was the issue at the center of Volkswagen’s Dieselgate scandal.

Ford announced in February that it had launched an investigation into its own emissions testing practices after employees raised red flags over potential consistency problems. Those employees discovered Ford may have been miscalculating “road load,” which is a measurement of the forces — like aerodynamic drag or tire resistance — on a car when it’s traveling at a constant speed on smooth, flat ground. (Coming up with a lower road load figure in the lab versus in the real world, for example, could lead an automaker to believe its cars were getting better fuel economy and therefore emitting less pollution.)

The company said it hired law firm Sidley Austin to perform the investigation, and alerted the Environmental Protection Agency. Ford said Friday that it’s also now working with the California Air Resources Board to fix whatever problems might exist.

“The Department of Justice contacted us earlier this month to let us know that they had opened a criminal investigation,” the company said Friday in a statement to The Verge. “Ford is fully cooperating with the government, and we’ll keep them posted on what we’re finding through our investigation and technical review.”

Both Daimler (the parent company of Mercedes-Benz) and Fiat Chrysler Automobiles are also reportedly under criminal investigation regarding emissions, though like Volkswagen, they allegedly did use defeat devices to make some diesel cars appear cleaner to regulators. Daimler and Fiat Chrysler have faced civil charges, too. In January, Fiat Chrysler settled a civil case with the US Department of Justice for $800 million. The company also recalled 862,000 cars in March. Meanwhile, a class-action lawsuit against Daimler in the US recently got the green light to move ahead in a New Jersey court.

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https://www.theverge.com/2019/4/26/18517991/ford-criminal-investigation-emissions-testing-problems-dieselgate

2019-04-26 17:26:50Z
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US economy posts strong first quarter, but consumer spending slows - CNN

But digging into the details of the report reveals that weakness remains in the American economy.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 3.2%, substantially above the projected 2.1%, buoyed by stronger state and local government spending, lower imports and business inventories.
The rate is a first estimate, and it may be revised as more data comes in over the next few weeks. It would have been even stronger, the BEA concluded, without the government shutdown — which subtracted 0.3 percentage points from growth in the first quarter rate. Federal spending was flat, since a rise in military spending was offset by a decline in non-defense spending.
The contribution from state and local government spending came largely as a result of highway and road construction, which localities have taken on while waiting for an infrastructure package from the federal government.
Underlying components in the report, however, suggest a broadly anticipated slowdown is still underway.
Growth was driven in part by higher inventories, especially in the manufacturing industry, which can indicate that businesses are stockpiling goods rather than selling them. Higher inventories can often foreshadow slower growth in the next quarter. Domestic private sales, which subtract out imports and exports as well as government spending, decelerated to half the rate of the previous quarter — the smallest gain in three years.
4 ways Trump's tax cuts changed the American economy
Imports collapsed, in part because businesses had rushed to bring in goods from overseas in advance of the Trump administration's tariffs last year. "With stock rooms and backlots now filling up, businesses saw no reason to buy more," wrote Bernard Baumohl, chief global economist with the Economic Outlook Group. "Worse, many companies now fear it will take far longer to unload all this inventory, given the apparent underlying weakness in consumer and business demand.
Meanwhile, consumer spending slowed, in part due to weak sales of goods, in particular light trucks. Business investment also slowed from the previous quarter, with agricultural machinery and office furniture posting the largest declines. The biggest boost for business investment came from intellectual property products. Exports are expected to slow, facing headwinds from a strengthening dollar.
"Taking out the oversized boosts from net trade, inventories and highways investment, which will all be reversed in the coming quarters, growth was only around 1%," wrote Paul Ashworth, chief US economist with the research firm Capital Economics. "Under those circumstances, we continue to expect that overall growth will slow this year, forcing the Fed to begin cutting interest rates before year-end."
Why big business is giving up its fight against a higher minimum wage
Forecasters are already tamping down their expectations. Morgan Stanley's economics team revised their second quarter estimate to 1.1%, for example, citing the buildup in inventories. The Conference Board is slightly more optimistic, projecting 2.5% growth next quarter, but they also forecast a slowdown to 2.3% for the second half of the year.
One looming question: Will these surprising numbers change the Federal Reserve's stated plans to hold off on interest rate hikes for the remainder of the year? Not if they look at the underlying numbers, writes Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist with the accounting firm RSM US. Inflation is well below the Fed's 2% target. Core personal consumption expenditures — a key metric that strips out volatile food and energy prices — rose only 1.3% year-over-year in the first quarter.
"The Federal Reserve will look right past the 3.2% quarterly growth estimate and focus on the composition of growth, which points to a slowing trend amid softening inflation," Brusuelas wrote. "This data reinforces the prudent pause the Fed is engaged in, and forward-looking investors and chief financial officers should expect no rate hike or rate cut until 2021."

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/04/26/economy/us-gdp-report-q1/index.html

2019-04-26 15:47:00Z
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Uber is paying drivers up to $40,000 each to celebrate its IPO - Business Insider

wolf of wall streetParamount Pictures

  • Uber drivers are set to receive up to $40,000 each as a "driver appreciation reward" ahead of the company's initial public offering.
  • The ride-hailing giant expects to pay around $300 million to more than 1.1 million drivers worldwide this weekend.
  • Uber drivers will receive one of six different cash rewards based on the number of trips they've completed. 
  • Uber has also reserved 5.4 million shares for drivers to purchase at the IPO price, expected to be between $44 and $50.
  • Visit MarketsInsider.com for more information about Uber.

Uber drivers are set to receive up to $40,000 as a "driver appreciation reward" ahead of the ride-hailing giant's initial public offering

The company announced in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing published on Friday that it would pay around $300 million to its more than 1.1 million drivers worldwide. It expects to make the payments on or around April 27. 

"To acknowledge drivers who have participated in our success, we are paying a one-time cash driver appreciation reward to qualifying drivers in jurisdictions where we operate through owned operations," Uber said in the filing.

Eligible US drivers will receive one of six different cash rewards based on the number of Uber trips they've completed. Drivers are in line to earn $100 for making at least 2,500 trips, $500 for at least 5,000 trips, $1,000 for at least 10,000 trips, and $20,000 for at least 20,000 trips.

The largest reward — for 40,000 trips — is $40,000.

To qualify for the reward, drivers must have completed at least 2,500 Uber trips, including one this year as of April 7, and their account must be in good standing. Payouts to non-US drivers will be adjusted to reflect different average hourly earnings across regions.

Uber is also giving its drivers a chance to buy its stock before the general public. It has reserved 5.4 million shares for drivers through a directed share program. Drivers who qualify for the driver-appreciation reward will be able to buy those shares at the IPO price, which Uber expects to be between $44 and $50 a share.

Exclusive FREE Report: The AI 101 Report by Business Insider Intelligence

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https://www.businessinsider.com/initial-public-offering-uber-rewarding-drivers-2019-4

2019-04-26 14:41:28Z
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Uber is paying drivers up to $40,000 each to celebrate its IPO - Business Insider

wolf of wall streetParamount Pictures

  • Uber drivers are set to receive up to $40,000 each as a "driver appreciation reward" ahead of the company's initial public offering.
  • The ride-hailing giant expects to pay around $300 million to more than 1.1 million drivers worldwide this weekend.
  • Uber drivers will receive one of six different cash rewards based on the number of trips they've completed. 
  • Uber has also reserved 5.4 million shares for drivers to purchase at the IPO price, expected to be between $44 and $50.
  • Visit MarketsInsider.com for more information about Uber.

Uber drivers are set to receive up to $40,000 as a "driver appreciation reward" ahead of the ride-hailing giant's initial public offering

The company announced in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing published on Friday that it would pay around $300 million to its more than 1.1 million drivers worldwide. It expects to make the payments on or around April 27. 

"To acknowledge drivers who have participated in our success, we are paying a one-time cash driver appreciation reward to qualifying drivers in jurisdictions where we operate through owned operations," Uber said in the filing.

Eligible US drivers will receive one of six different cash rewards based on the number of Uber trips they've completed. Drivers are in line to earn $100 for making at least 2,500 trips, $500 for at least 5,000 trips, $1,000 for at least 10,000 trips, and $20,000 for at least 20,000 trips.

The largest reward — for 40,000 trips — is $40,000.

To qualify for the reward, drivers must have completed at least 2,500 Uber trips, including one this year as of April 7, and their account must be in good standing. Payouts to non-US drivers will be adjusted to reflect different average hourly earnings across regions.

Uber is also giving its drivers a chance to buy its stock before the general public. It has reserved 5.4 million shares for drivers through a directed share program. Drivers who qualify for the driver-appreciation reward will be able to buy those shares at the IPO price, which Uber expects to be between $44 and $50 a share.

Exclusive FREE Report: The AI 101 Report by Business Insider Intelligence

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https://www.businessinsider.com/initial-public-offering-uber-rewarding-drivers-2019-4

2019-04-26 14:38:14Z
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Walmart, Target shares tumble as Amazon announces one-day shipping for Prime members - CNBC

As if promising two-day delivery wasn't enough, Amazon just raised the bar for retailers across the U.S. — chiefly Walmart and Target — to offer even faster and cheaper shipping for online purchases. Or to lean into their bricks-and-mortar stores, something Amazon can't do, even more.

The e-commerce company announced on Thursday it will be making one-day shipping the standard for all Amazon Prime members, expecting to spend $800 million during the second quarter of this year to improve its warehouses and delivery infrastructures to make this possible.

Target shares were down more than 5% Friday morning. Walmart shares tumbled 2.5%.

With more than 100 million paying Prime members across the country, it's estimated Amazon reaches more than 50% of U.S. households today, and growing. And so the impact of its move toward an even speedier shipping option is going to be substantial. This means more and more consumers are going to get used to having whatever they order on the internet show up at their doorsteps in 24 hours or less. Walmart and Target are going to need to make sure they meet these changing expectations.

Already, near 40% of consumers want online orders to arrive in two days, free of charge, according to a survey by the National Retail Federation of about 3,000 U.S. adults from Oct. 23 through Nov. 30 of last year. 29% of people said they didn't complete a purchase online after finding out two-day shipping wasn't free.

"Just as Amazon did with Prime 2-day delivery 14 years ago, we see a broad-based 1-day shipping offering increasing consumer e-commerce expectations (essentially more people will get used to 1 day vs. 2 day shipping … and grow to expect 1-day shipping)," Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak said in a research note.

"This, in our view, is likely to cause other brands, manufacturers, retailers, and logistics companies to have to invest more aggressively to compete with Amazon and its differentiated delivery," he added. "The cost to compete within e-commerce continues to rise."

While Walmart and Target don't break out for Wall Street how much money they spend on shipping and related expenses each year, we know those costs have eaten into profit margins and continue to do so. And investors have punished Walmart and Target, at least in the near term, for having to spend more money to compete.

Walmart in January of 2017 started offering free two-day shipping on orders totaling more than $35, dropping its minimum purchase threshold, which had been $50 up until then. And it bought Jet.com for $3 billion in 2016 as another bid to juice its online business and compete with Amazon, but also to be able to reach shoppers in bigger cities in a faster window of time.

Target, meanwhile, in March of 2018 made free two-day shipping available for all of its credit card holders, with no minimum purchase requirement. For all other Target shoppers, two-day shipping comes free with a minimum online order of $35. Target had lowered its purchase threshold to $25 from $50 in 2015, but raised it back to $35 in 2017. And on the acquisition front, Target acquired same-day delivery platform Shipt for $550 million in 2017, allowing it to get to customers in bigger cities like New York in under 24 hours.

"While margins have been pressured ... now [Walmart and Target] have a much more sophisticated supply chain," Stacey Widlitz, president of SW Retail Advisors, said. "It's been paying off," because same-store sales have continued to climb at these retailers, she said. "The real issue is when you get to the holidays. ... That's when people will be saying, 'Oh my God, I need this same day or in one day.'"

To be sure, Walmart, Target and many of Amazon's other rivals like Best Buy, Kohl's and Home Depot are increasingly touting their buy online, pick up in store options. And that's something Amazon hasn't been able to match at scale, without a far-reaching network of bricks-and-mortar locations like these other companies.

There's evidence more and more shoppers are turning to this option, too.

Target this past holiday season said the amount of online orders it fulfilled through either in-store pickup or its curbside pickup service was up 60 percent from a year ago and accounted for roughly 25 percent of online sales during November and December.

A recent, April survey from Coresight Research found 46% of online shoppers in the U.S. had collected at least one of their online orders from a bricks-and-mortar store within the past 12 months. Coresight said Walmart and Target are the two most popular U.S. retailers for buying online and picking up in store, followed by Best Buy and Home Depot.

— CNBC's Courtney Reagan contributed to this reporting.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/26/amazons-free-one-day-shipping-puts-the-pressure-on-walmart-target.html

2019-04-26 14:02:06Z
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2019 Starts off with a Bang in the First Quarter with Strong Economic Performance - The White House

As discussed in the 2019 Economic Report of the President, the Council of Economic Advisers demonstrated that the strong economic performance in 2017 and 2018 was not merely a continuation of trends already under way during the preceding post-recession expansion, but rather constituted a distinct break from trend and positive surprise relative to expectations. We see in today’s advance estimate of real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2019 that the economy continues to outperform expectations.

As shown in the figure below, in their final longer-term forecasts before the November 2016 election, the Congressional Budget Office and the Federal Open Market Committee on average projected four-quarter real GDP growth in 2017, 2018, and 2019 of 2.2, 2.0, and 1.7 percent, respectively. In actuality, real GDP grew 2.5 percent in 2017, 3.0 percent in 2018, and in the first quarter of 2019 grew at an annualized rate of 3.2 percent.

Moreover, we consider the 2019:Q1 advance estimate likely underestimates the current pace of economic growth in the United States for two reasons.  First, as shown in the following table, in recent years estimates of real GDP growth in the first quarter of a calendar year have on average been below growth during the subsequent three quarters.  Indeed, over the past 25 years, the Q1 estimate has, on average, been 0.9 percentage point lower than the average of Q2, Q3, and Q4 estimates. This suggests there may be some lingering seasonality in the official estimates of first-quarter real GDP growth.

Second, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) now estimates that the partial government shutdown in 2019:Q1 lowered the overall growth rate of real GDP by 0.3 percentage point at an annual rate. In their technical note, the BEA states that “the full effects of the partial federal government shutdown on the first quarter estimates cannot be quantified because they are embedded in the regular source data that underlie the estimates and cannot be separately identified.” In the absence of residual seasonality and the government shutdown, real GDP growth in the first quarter of this year might have been up to 1.2 percentage points higher, implying an annualized growth rates of 4.4 percent.

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https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2019-starts-off-with-a-bang-in-the-first-quarter-with-strong-economic-performance/

2019-04-26 13:53:01Z
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